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2024-12-14 06:29:04

CITIC Securities: As the Spring Festival approaches, consumption is expected to usher in a new round of rebound and repair. CITIC Securities Research Report said that the Politburo meeting held on December 9, 2024 once again made it clear that expanding domestic demand is the key policy direction for the coming year, "expanding domestic demand in all directions" and "vigorously boosting consumption", expressing positive and igniting market expectations. After experiencing a rapid rebound in September, the consumer sector generally pulled back in October-November because the short-term consumption data has not yet reflected the effectiveness of the policy and the policy strength in the coming year is unclear. We believe that as the Spring Festival approaches, the top-down emphasis on domestic demand and policy expectations are heating up, and consumption is expected to usher in a new round of rebound and repair. On the policy side, in addition to the "trade-in policy", we believe that there is still a package of consumption promotion toolboxes available, such as subsidies for first-time car buyers, maternity subsidies, and the issuance of state-subsidized catering and tourism coupons. We suggest that the consumption allocation should be progressive from both offensive and defensive to flexible varieties, with both offensive and defensive features: consumer Internet, dairy products with low valuation and high return, mass catering, etc., and flexibility: catering supply chain, alcohol, human resources services, hotels, etc., with obvious pro-cyclical characteristics, considering the consumption allocation demand driven by expectations first.The President of Argentina announced that a package of financial, political and security reforms will be carried out next year. On December 10, local time, Argentine President Millai said in a televised speech on the first anniversary of his administration that a package of financial, political and security reforms will be carried out in 2025. Millay also announced that the national tax revenue will be reduced by 90%. (CCTV News)German police searched Adidas' office and conducted a tax investigation. As part of the tax investigation that lasted for several years, German police searched Adidas' German headquarters on December 10th. An Adidas spokesperson said that the search operation involved customs and tax clearance regulations for goods imported into Germany from 2019.


The Hang Seng Science and Technology Index rose to 1%, and the Hang Seng Index is now up 0.70%.Treasury futures collectively opened lower, with 30-year main contracts down 0.38%, 30-year main contracts down 0.38%, 10-year main contracts down 0.11%, 5-year main contracts down 0.06% and 2-year main contracts down 0.04%.Liquor stocks fluctuated and rebounded at the daily limit of Huangtai liquor industry, while liquor stocks fluctuated and rebounded at the daily limit of Huangtai liquor industry. Rock shares, gold seed wine, Yingjia tribute wine, Laobaigan wine, Jinhui wine, Shede wine industry and so on followed up.


There is still a large range of rainy weather in the south due to temperature fluctuations in many places in the country. Today and tomorrow (December 11-12), snowfall in the north will continue to shrink, and the south will continue to maintain a large range of rainy weather. At the same time, the cooling effect brought by cold air is still in progress, and the temperature in most areas will go down to a new level, with cold on top and cold on top, and many places will hit new lows since beginning of winter this year.China's one-year interest rate swap hit a four-year low, and China's one-year interest rate swap (IRS) fell sharply this week, falling below the 1.50% mark for the first time since 2020. The data shows that the one-year interest rate swap was still around 1.50% at the beginning of Wednesday, and once fell to 1.4825% in the previous session, setting a new low since May 2020.The AI application steering wheel went down at the beginning, Huayang Lianzhong fell, the AI application steering wheel went down at the beginning, Huayang Lianzhong fell, Fengyuzhu, Fushi Holdings, Wanxing Technology, Jincai Internet, Tianyu Digital Branch and so on followed.

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